Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Michigan Exit Poll

Select a candidate to see how he performed among different voter groups.
Percent of totalGINGRICHPAULROMNEYSANTORUM
Quality: can defeat Barack Obama32%846124
Quality: has the right experience21%14105614
Better experience: business57%4125527
Religious beliefs, not much18%5155424
Definitely GOP in 201262%855036
Politically: somewhat conservative31%7105031
Decided: before December32%8215017
Age: 65+25%974831
Top issue: federal budget deficit24%8124830
Income: $100K and up33%894735
Party ID: Republican60%864737
Tea party: somewhat support24%5104735
Abortion: illegal in most cases37%594638
Abortion: legal in most24%5214624
City over 50K13%4134633
Religious beliefs, not at all26%6214622
Tea party: somewhat oppose6%994628
Born again: no58%7164529
Top issue: economy54%8144529
Education: college graduate51%6124436
Religious beliefs, somewhat32%684439
Union HH: No77%6124436
Married women34%684340
Religion: Catholic30%894337
Tea party: neutral29%6184330
Decided: January15%784340
Yes, laid off31%8124235
Sex: female48%7104237
Union member: No86%6124237
Abortion: legal in all cases12%9174129
Age: 45-6449%684142
Suburbs62%8114137
Work full-time: No45%7114138
Auto bailout: approve44%3144138
Yes, married73%894140
Race: white92%7114138
Debates: one of several important30%7114138
Women+work full time: No79%8124137
Married men39%9104039
Auto bailout: disapprove51%11113938
No, not laid off68%7133938
Religion: Protestant or other Christrian57%7103941
Work full-time: Yes55%7143838
Non-married men13%3243831
Sex: male52%7153837
Decided: today9%11123831
Politically: moderate or liberal39%7183733
No, not married27%6213732
Non-married women15%8203733
Debates: not a factor34%4143741
Women+work full time: Yes21%5163739
Income: $50K to $99K33%7153639
Tea party: strongly support28%1163646
Education: no college degree49%8133539
Politically: very conservative30%763550
Income: Less than $50K35%7143540
Debates: minor factor27%7123541
Age: 30-4417%7173339
Small city or rural25%7153341
Party ID: independent or other31%7223333
Born again: Yes42%783250
Decided: this month27%853254
Decided: past few days16%3143149
GOP in 2012 only if candidate wins11%3402826
Tea party: strongly oppose12%3192745
Union HH: Yes23%12132745
Probably GOP in 201219%10202641
Union member: Yes14%12132645
Abortion: illegal in all cases22%1062558
Age: 18-2910%4402530
Religious beliefs, great deal24%1052062
Better experience: government30%12141951
Party ID: Democrat9%3171753
Quality: is a true conservative17%6161757
Quality: has strong moral character25%2221657
Top issue: abortion14%361177
SOURCE: These are preliminary results from Republican primary poll of 2,133 voters as they exited primary voting places in Michigan on Feb. 28, 2012. A separate telephone poll of 412 absentee or realy voters was conducted Feb. 20 to 26. Both polls were conducted by Edison Media Research for the National Election Pool. Typical characteristics have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. GRAPHIC: The Washington Post. Published Feb. 28, 2012.